Summary: Bank of America (BofA) Global economists warn that if something is going to break in the U.S. economy, it will likely happen this summer. In their base-case scenario, the labor market stays strong, and Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs push inflation high enough to prevent the Federal Reserve from cutting…
Stock Market
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Wall Street Veteran Bill Smead Sounds Alarm: “The Most Dangerous Market of My Career
Driving through Northern Alabama on Thursday, veteran investor Bill Smead was on the road pitching potential clients on his Smead Value Fund (SMVLX). It’s not an easy sell right now. His energy and homebuilder stocks have taken a hit, and the fund is down 11% since May of last year.…
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Wall Street’s Rare Signal: Only Seen Three Times Since 1871 — Here’s What History Says Happens Next
In October, Wall Street celebrated the two-year anniversary of the current bull market. Since the beginning of the year, the mature stock-driven Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI 0.24%), benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC 0.02%), and growth stock-powered Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC -0.20%) have surged by 19%, 28%, and 31%, respectively, as of…
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Trump’s chaos: Powell Warns of Volatile Inflation and Persistent Supply Shocks in Post-Pandemic Economy
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Thursday that the economy may be entering a period of more volatile inflation and more regular supply shocks relative to recent decades, in which inflation and unemployment remained low. Powell reflected Wednesday on “the possibility that inflation could be more volatile going forward than…
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California Considers Freezing Building Code to Tackle Housing Costs
As California continues to grapple with its long-standing housing affordability crisis, a new bill is proposing a novel solution: put a pause on changes to the state’s building code. Assembly Bill 306, introduced by Assemblymember Nick Schultz of Burbank, seeks to freeze the current building standards through at least 2031.…
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How Trade Deals Could Shape Mortgage Rates in 2025
What happens to mortgage rates with more trade deals?If we avoid a recession, mortgage rates could stay elevated. What will happen to mortgage rates now that China and the U.S. have made progress in their trade war, agreeing to a 90-day period of lower tariffs? Stocks are up considerably this…
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Graham Stephan Calls Gold the ‘Ultimate Money Printer’ Amid Economic Uncertainty
An “ultimate money printer” sounds very desirable in these times — or in any time, really. To combat financial friction due to heightened tariffs on goods and the declining value of the U.S. dollar, personal finance guru Graham Stephan said many investors are turning to one thing. Read on to…
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Nancy Pelosi’s Stock Gains Outpace Warren Buffett’s Over Past 11 Years
Nancy Pelosi‘s investments over 11 years have outperformed the ‘Oracle of Omaha’, Warren Buffett‘s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK), with gains that are more than double the latter’s performance. What Happened According to the data from Quiver Quantitative, Pelosi’s investments have fetched her gains of 692.75% since May 16, 2014. This…
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Warren Buffett to Step Down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway by Year’s End
Warren Buffett said Saturday that he will step down as the head of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) at the end of this year, ending a storied investing career that saw him beat the market year after year and earned him the nickname “Oracle of Omaha.” Buffett, Berkshire’s CEO and chairman, said…
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Wall Street Rides a Retail-Driven Rally, But Storm Clouds Linger
The S&P 500 just notched its longest winning streak in more than 20 years. After climbing for nine straight sessions and gaining 10%, it has now erased all the losses suffered since April 2 — the day President Donald Trump launched his global trade war. But as the article puts…